Survey Research

Towards Best Practices in AGI Safety and Governance

May 2023

A survey of expert opinion

Jonas Schuett, Noemi Dreksler, Markus Anderljung, David McCaffary, Lennart Heim, Emma Bluemke, Ben Garfinkel

A number of leading AI companies, including OpenAI, Google DeepMind, andAnthropic, have the stated goal of building artificial general intelligence (AGI)—AI systems that achieve or exceed human performance...

Survey Research

Forecasting AI Progress: Evidence from a Survey of Machine Learning Researchers

June 2022

Journal Article

Baobao Zhang, Noemi Dreksler, Markus Anderljung, Lauren Kahn, Allan Dafoe and Michael C. Horowitz

Advances in artificial intelligence (AI) are shaping modern life, from transportation, health care, science, finance, to the military. Forecasts of AI development could help improve policy- and decision making. We report...

Survey Research

Ethics and Governance of Artificial Intelligence: Evidence from a Survey of Machine Learning Researchers

May 2021

Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research

Baobao Zhang, Markus Anderljung, Lauren Kahn, Noemi Dreksler, Michael C. Horowitz, and Allan Dafoe

Machine learning (ML) and artificial intelligence (AI) researchers play an important role in the ethics and governance of AI, including taking action against what they perceive to be unethical uses of AI...

Survey Research

Skilled and Mobile: Survey Evidence of AI Researchers' Immigration Preferences

May 2021

ArXiv Pre-Print

Remco Zwetsloot, Baobao Zhang, Noemi Dreksler, Lauren Kahn, Markus Anderljung, Allan Dafoe, Michael C. Horowitz

Countries, companies, and universities are increasingly competing over top-tier artificial intelligence (AI) researchers. Where are these researchers likely to immigrate and what affects their immigration decisions? We...

Survey Research

The Immigration Preferences of Top AI Researchers: New Survey Evidence

January 2021

Perry World House Report

Remco Zwetsloot, Baobao Zhang, Markus Anderljung, Michael C. Horowitz, Allan Dafoe

Artificial intelligence (AI) talent is global. AI researchers and engineers come from, and are in high demand, all over theworld. Countries and companies trying to recruit and retain AI talent thus...

Survey Research

Artificial Intelligence: American Attitudes and Trends

January 2019

GovAI Report

Baobao Zhang and Allan Dafoe

This report presents the results from an extensive look at the American public’s attitudes toward AI and AI governance, with questions touching on: workplace automation; attitudes regarding interna...

Survey Research

When Will AI Exceed Human Performance? Evidence from AI Experts

July 2018

Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research

Katja Grace, John Salvatier, Allan Dafoe, Baobao Zhang, and Owain Evans

To adapt public policy, we need to better anticipate advances in artificial intelligence development. Here we report the results from a large survey of machine learning researchers on their beliefs...